Tuesday, April 11, 2017

Extra! Extra! Lie All About It!

Poor Sax.  If it’s not one thing, it’s another.  Although of a fishy assertion, it was the candid-criminality declared having sampled the stomach contents of her member striped-sisters by a team of researchers, who documented the lengthwise measurement in centimeters of ingested Atlantic Menhaden and recorded such ranges of sampled entrĂ©e sizes in order to scientifically-estimate and mathematically-support by posits of probability and calculable principles of standard deviation, a determination that her species, Morone Saxatilis, was found to feast primarily on a mean length of forage fish (Menhaden, appropriately, in this instance) that is of 8.4 cm (3.3 in) in length.  What’s more, examined forage fish stomach samples ranged strictly from 2.5 cm (1 in) to 19.5 cm (7.5 in) in length.

I chanced upon this “unbiased report” in a social media news feed of a well-known grassroots organization that crusades for the defense of Atlantic Menhaden conservation through public interest lobbying for harvest reduction, whereby curiously clicking further, I learned of and then read in its esteemed entirety, a recently-published (03/27/2017) study’s 11-page analyses detailing forage fisheries findings entitled “When Does Fishing Forage Species Affect Their Predators?” (Hilborn, R., et al., Fish. Res. 2017, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.fishres.2017.01.008).  Then I followed the bouncing (bait) ball.

The published abstract of the article reads as follows:

“This paper explores the impact of fishing low trophic level “forage” species on higher trophic level marine predators including other fish, birds and marine mammals. We show that existing analyses using trophic models have generally ignored a number of important factors including (1) the high level of natural variability of forage fish, (2) the weak relationship between forage fish spawning stock size and recruitment and the role of environmental productivity regimes, (3) the size distribution of forage fish, their predators and subsequent size selective predation (4) the changes in spatial distribution of the forage fish as it influences the reproductive success of predators. We show that taking account of these factors generally tends to make the impact of fishing forage fish on their predators less than estimated from trophic models. We also explore the empirical relationship between forage fish abundance and predator abundance for a range of U.S. fisheries and show that there is little evidence for a strong connection between forage fish abundance and the rate of change in the abundance of their predators. We suggest that any evaluation of harvest policies for forage fish needs to include these issues, and that models tailored for individual species and ecosystems are needed to guide fisheries management policy.”


The article misleadingly advances the following “findings”:

- Predator rate of increase is uncorrelated with forage fish abundance.
- Forage species are affected much more by environmental conditions than by fishing.
 -Previous analysis of forage fish impacts on predators ignored natural variability.
- Spatial distribution of forage species may be more important than their abundance.
- Predators often take small forage fish that are unaffected by fishing.


Paragraphs of great interest, by estimation of my analytical readership and sensible opinion, are as follows:

“Local density can either amplify natural variability in food supply, or the predators may be able to concentrate on high density locations even at low prey abundance, thus buffering them from the fluctuations in total abundance. Despite the importance of local forage abundance for central place foragers, there is little evidence relating abundance of forage species to the abundance of mobile predators. Jensen et al. (2012) cited several of the studies showing the importance of local abundance to central place foragers but also reviewed the empirical literature relating marine predatory fish abundance to abundance of their prey and found few clear links apart from a decline in cod productivity following the collapse of both herring and capelin in the Barents Sea.”
- pg. 2 –

“Some marine predators consume forage fish at sizes and ages before the fishery harvests them. This is most true for predatory fish and marine birds, where mouth gape sizes limit the maximum size of prey that can be eaten, and probably least true for marine mammals. As an example, Nelson et al. (2006) showed that the mean size of Atlantic Menhaden (Brevoortia Tyrannus) eaten by Striped Bass (Morone Saxatilis) in Massachusetts was 8.4 cm, but the mean size taken by the fishery was 28 cm. In the extreme, if the recruitment of forage fish is not affected by fishing, and the predators consume sizes smaller than taken by the fishery, then the fishery would have no impact on the food available to the predator. In other words, the fishery harvests only those individuals that have survived and grown large enough to escape most of their predators.”
- pg. 2 -

“Our analysis of the relationship between predator rate of change and abundance of individual prey species suggests little evidence for strong connections. This is likely due to the many factors discussed above that mediate the link between fishing, prey abundance, spatial distribution and size, and predator population dynamics. The fact that few of the predator populations evaluated in this study have been decreasing under existing fishing policies suggests that current harvest strategies do not threaten the predators and there is no pressing need for more conservative management of forage fish.”
- pg. 10 -

“It must be remembered that small pelagic fish stocks are a highly important part of the human food supply, providing not only calories and protein, but micronutrients, both through direct human consumption and the use of small pelagics as food in aquaculture. Some of the largest potential increases in capture fisheries production would be possible by fishing low trophic levels much harder than currently. While fishing low trophic levels harder may reduce the abundance of higher level predators, that cost should be weighed against the environmental cost of increasing food production in other ways. Fish provide food without substantial use of freshwater, fertilizer, antibiotics and soil erosion. Forage fish also have among the lowest carbon footprints of any form of protein production. Thus it is not clear that from a global environmental perspective that reductions in fishing mortality rates on forage fish would necessarily be precautionary.”
- pg. 10 -


If you catch my drift, I’m sure you’ll agree that something smells like dead fish.  A red herring, to be exact.  Simply read between the lines and you’ll just as easily conclude how the striper’s striped-lines are those being tested by the hands of businessman-kind’s insatiable willingness for rapacious consumption of the Atlantic’s profitable mossy-backed biomass once again, only this time with outlandish claims that forage fish (Menhaden) over a certain length are definitively, 100% outside the scope of Striped Bass predation, but worse still, suggesting that there exists a direct, environmental benefit linked to lessening the effects of climate change by increasing the harvest limits of forage fishes, thereby mitigating the carbon footprint realized at the expenditure of alternative (land-based) food productions of protein. 

Foremost, this article failed to mention what sized Striped Bass were those identified and measured by its researchers that supported the claims of their findings.  This is very important, (crucial, perhaps) and would be directly-correlated to the measured results of their “findings.”  I doubt many, if any, were those breeder-sized bass of the type which terrorize and deliberately inhale adult Menhaden without reserve.  Mossbunker forage fish of lengths greater than 7.5 in. (think May & June Bunker blitz-fishing along the Jersey Shore).  Clearly, this study smells pungently of Omega-3 fatty acid fish oils and as an academic cover for the colossal-sized, commercial Menhaden-reduction fishery.  To postulate that Striped Bass only consume a forage fish diet specifically and scientifically-determined in length is as preposterous as claiming that an adult elephant will only eat the same quantity of food as when its diet was studied as a baby elephant, even though maturation developed it into a fifteen-thousand pound animal.  Simply put, in this case, as the predator grows, as does its choice (and opportunities thereof) of forage fish diet for consumption.  What fits into the manhole-sized gape of a Striper becomes her next meal.  It’s that simple.  Given the natural opportunity for the biomass of Striped Bass to mature in size, weight, and length, this becomes an observable reality.  Just ask a seasoned Striper fisherman.        

As scientifically-accurate the methodologies of data collection and recognition of recorded observations for this study may have been, by simply reading the report, anyone would consider there to be blatant, abundantly-sufficient evidence for objection of its findings in that clearly-discounted, or conveniently-ignored, are a number of real-world truisms.  Those which are completely skewed in favor of commercial fishing’s future harvest initiative or potential claim (enter, Omega Protein).  Simply refer to the paragraphs of interest and bulleted findings that I have documented earlier in this writing.  The words all speak for themselves. 

Above all else, how can the suggestion whereby removing a food-source (i.e. Menhaden longer than 7.5 in.) from the coastal Atlantic at an annual harvest rate of 180,000+ metric tons (Omega Protein’s 2016 allotted quota) not have a consequence on dependent forage feeders and the dietary behaviors of upper-trophic level species?  Remember, an indisputable tenant of the Menhaden’s lifecycle is that adult fish must first breed in order to populate the Atlantic with scaly, mossy-backed scions of “3.3 in. mean-sized” forage fish the study claims that predators known as Striped Bass so prefer (or rather, were studied to only consume).  It’s blasphemy to suggest that adult Menhaden should be harvested at an increased quota as their size alone excludes them from natural, upper trophic-level predation.  Instead, there needs to exist in the wild, in inshore quantities large enough, such an adult biomass of forage fish that linesider predators can consume (and perhaps be documented in a study as having consumed of), because it’s a fact they will, when such forage fish are present in schools like the ones tightly-formed to the ocean’s surface with fins and tails nervously flipping.  It’s that simple.  Follow the bouncing (bait) ball.





“Humankind has not woven the web of life.  We are but one thread within it.  Whatever we do to the web, we do to ourselves.  All things are bound together.  All things connect.”


- Native American tribesman, Chief Seattle -






The "red herring" smear campaign funded by the National Coalition for Fishing Communities, of which, Omega Protein is a prominent business member.


"Predators (Striped Bass, in this case) generally target small forage fish that are unaffected by fishing" claims the study.  Right, unaffected......

Social media post.
The F/V Rappahannock was christened on May 18, 2013 at Omega Protein’s Reedville, VA facility.  She is a 196' state-of-the-art menhaden fishing vessel prized among their fleet of 11 ships.


The 184' F/V Fleeton was also christened on May 18, 2013 at Omega Protein’s Reedville, VA facility by Anna Scholtes, wife of Omega Protein CEO, Bret Scholtes.  “These two vessels allow us to harvest menhaden in a more efficient and environmentally conscious capacity. It also allows us to better preserve those fish and conduct our operations in a safer way. It’s really a win-win scenario in all regards," Omega Protein CEO Bret Scholtes.


In one strand of the "web of life," it washes-up along the sandy shores of our beaches as Stripers feasting on Menhaden.